The 2026 NFL schedule release is upon us, and while it may not be a fantasy football game-changer, it's still a valuable resource for understanding team strengths and weaknesses. This article delves into the strength of schedule for all 32 teams, using two different methods: combined winning percentages of opponents and projected win percentages based on Vegas totals. The results offer insights into which teams may have an easier or tougher path to the playoffs, and how that could impact player values.
The Easiest Schedules
The Browns have the easiest slate based on opponent winning percentage, but they're fourth when considering Sharp's projected numbers. Combining both methods, the Saints emerge as the team with the easiest schedule, a positive sign for players like Tyler Shough, Travis Etienne Jr., Chris Olave, and rookie wideout Jordan Tyson. The Bengals, ranked third on both lists, also boast a favorable schedule, making them an attractive draft choice for stars like Joe Burrow, Chase Brown, Ja'Marr Chase, and Tee Higgins. However, the Rams have a tougher slate, which could make Puka Nacua a more appealing option.
The Toughest Schedules
The Bears have the toughest slate based on combined winning percentages, but they're only sixth when considering Sharp's data. The Dolphins, ranked 31st in both lists, have the worst schedule, which is less concerning for fantasy football, as their roster lacks strong options. The Cardinals, tied for 29th in one method and last in the other, also face a challenging path, but this may not significantly impact the stock of rookie Jeremiyah Love or Trey McBride. However, it could lead to regression from Jacoby Brissett.
The Numbers Speak
The table provides a comprehensive view of the strength of schedule, with ranks based on 2025 combined winning percentages on the left and Sharp Analysis on the right. These lists offer a nuanced understanding of each team's challenges and opportunities, but it's important to remember that they are just one piece of the puzzle. Fantasy football success depends on a multitude of factors, and while schedule strength is a valuable consideration, it should not be the sole determinant of a player's value.
